Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c94eb0094370fb068b8664eb3c8911a3af5ae2e25dea72d1003f97a75116a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 10,367$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 46c | 7,250$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.89 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 54c | 5,962$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.86 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 3,320$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.54 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 1,289$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.58 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 55c | 875.7$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Yes | 53c | 825.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 746.19$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 54c | 662.08$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 53c | 656.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.68 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 565.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 535.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.01 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 11c | 460.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 53c | 407.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 48c | 377.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes | 54c | 354.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 46c | 345.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…f158backed Yes | 54c | 337.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 319.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 54c | 297.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 54c | 225.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 54c | 216.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 47c | 208.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 50c | 206.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 51c | 193.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…f645backed Yes | 54c | 184.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Yes | 54c | 179.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 55c | 178.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c157backed Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Yes | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 50c | 156.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 52c | 151.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Yes | 55c | 142.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 137.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 49c | 133.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 55c | 114.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed No | 49c | 114.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 114.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 113.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 53c | 109.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Yes | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…ae8fbacked Yes | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 41c | 104.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…d4d7backed Yes | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 50c | 96.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 54c | 95.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…3ec7backed Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 55c | 87.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 52c | 78.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 64.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 49c | 60.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 50c | 59.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 53c | 55.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…3e81backed Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 55c | 49.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed Yes | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 53c | 49.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 47.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 53c | 45.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…3619backed Yes | 49c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 54c | 40.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Yes | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Yes | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Yes | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…7e38backed No | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…1273backed Yes | 47c | 39.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.