TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c8,696$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over78c7,296$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c3,807$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under4c2,910$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c2,576$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under76c2,000$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under21c1,313$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over25c1,249$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.8919026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over79c1,248$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.965655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under73c1,219$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.2122551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over30c798.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.267136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over77c680.09$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.425358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over75c669.05$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.984173.2%30 W · 11 L+11.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9f67…5587backed Over77c640.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over78c632.56$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.165251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…e8e0backed Over26c525$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under78c489.96$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.174751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over23c432.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2536850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over75c418.89$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4110273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under75c405.96$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under75c403.78$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3c…fb81backed Over26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42f…3028backed Under74c393.76$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c366.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over66c300.19$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.371,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over27c299.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under76c294.15$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.227266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under76c294.15$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2221953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under76c281.71$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under76c281.68$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6712266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6711167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under76c259.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0920156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under76c259.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0910958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…294ebacked Over21c239.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc7…b45abacked Over77c230$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7a…09f8backed Under74c206.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+194.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Over75c188$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478155.6%45 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…60c7backed Under74c187.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+194.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cc…536bbacked Under24c166.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over78c161.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4410265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over77c158.36$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.424062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under76c156.18$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.74751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over27c149.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.073,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under74c142.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under75c130.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5325554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5617158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8320067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.834259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x269e…ada9backed Over77c124.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+152%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over77c123.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b8…c80dbacked Under74c123.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+206.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c112.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.778734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.449759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed Over77c96.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over26c95.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.714035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over26c91.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under76c91.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4215448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over24c88.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.582,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under74c81.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.33357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over77c78.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0723142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2182340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under59c67.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.396538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under77c66.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.086350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over23c64.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under74c63.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2237144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Over27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.816925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under75c56.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4118769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked Over78c53.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over26c41.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.636329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over53c34.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.218139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under76c32.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.649351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.965962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under77c29.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.855972.9%43 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under76c28.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.688659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9210868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over78c25.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6387651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under75c25.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1614948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over77c24.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under75c24.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4712454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Under76c23.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.914744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under75c20.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f5…1ad7backed Under74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over77c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Over77c18.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Under74c18.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.644235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over78c16.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.579666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under75c14.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.675761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.