TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7f5…1ad7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT6479.7%51 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$23.36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49%+$14.56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$38.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$16.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$24.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$17.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.52
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.44
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.01
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$28.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)backed Club Puebla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.