Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf570ccdcdf7f4c9da7db965182780af1e50e50decd6aa3d88a7b7e1a6478648d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8785…5d00backed Yes | 0c | 6,555$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,856$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 3c | 2,756$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,557$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 6c | 1,524$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 470.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 69c | 397.82$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…d97cbacked Yes | 4c | 356.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 343.45$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 26c | 243.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 25c | 229.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 29c | 196.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…8183backed Yes | 15c | 194.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 30c | 184.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…35d8backed Yes | 26c | 158.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 18c | 157.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 34c | 157.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 71c | 153$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 152.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 68c | 147.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 145$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed No | 70c | 143.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a1…b0fbbacked Yes | 25c | 134.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 66c | 134.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 132.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 76c | 129.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 30c | 128.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 28c | 127.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 36c | 127.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 31c | 123.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 123.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 22c | 122.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 26c | 121.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 27c | 121.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed Yes | 26c | 113.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 34c | 107.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a4bebacked Yes | 23c | 102.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 100.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 22c | 100.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…3f4bbacked Yes | 30c | 99.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 75c | 96.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 20c | 95.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 27c | 92.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 26c | 88.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 20c | 85.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…77aabacked Yes | 29c | 80.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…bc0ebacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked No | 74c | 79.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…a8b7backed Yes | 40c | 78.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…85e9backed No | 70c | 78.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked Yes | 31c | 77.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 75c | 77.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 27c | 73.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 23c | 71.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e9…62a2backed Yes | 35c | 70.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 29c | 69.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 74c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 73c | 64.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 61.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…33d0backed Yes | 30c | 53.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…c9d1backed Yes | 23c | 51.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 30c | 50.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 34c | 49.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 32c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 28c | 45.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 67c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 67c | 44.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 43.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 78c | 42.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 41.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8cbbbacked Yes | 31c | 35.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 35.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed No | 70c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 32.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 67c | 32.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 67c | 31.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x314b…4681backed No | 80c | 28.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…7f9abacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 23.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed No | 66c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c83ebacked No | 67c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…73c0backed No | 70c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 73c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…7948backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 80c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 76c | 19.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.