Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c1ed11a6434b8dcc7a6ac403fcef0957c427022c4adc9223cbf95341edd31d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 3c | 2,332$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked No | 3c | 2,278$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 20c | 1,464$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed Yes | 51c | 1,079$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.69 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 3c | 827.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 18c | 742.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…8665backed No | 2c | 718.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 398.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a4bebacked Yes | 38c | 359.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 290$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed No | 4c | 285$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 35c | 249.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 243.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked No | 14c | 238.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…2402backed Yes | 59c | 236.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 236.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 21c | 235.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 44c | 198.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…a5cabacked No | 71c | 195.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 69c | 182.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 24c | 169$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 163.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 68c | 156.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 10c | 155.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…05c3backed Yes | 67c | 148.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 11c | 148.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 139.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 35c | 138.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…ccf3backed Yes | 33c | 138.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 137.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 46c | 129.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 123.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 119.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 43c | 117.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 69c | 116.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 45c | 112.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 35c | 109.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e9…62a2backed Yes | 65c | 109.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 43c | 100.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 32c | 97.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 95.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 94.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 92.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 86.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…a8b7backed Yes | 42c | 85.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 37c | 85.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 72c | 82.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 82.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 33c | 79.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 77.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 65c | 77.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 39c | 76.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 35c | 74.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 69c | 73.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 63c | 71.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…999ebacked Yes | 42c | 70.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 74c | 67.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 59c | 66.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 65c | 64.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 61.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 57.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 52.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…26bfbacked Yes | 80c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 44c | 51.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…2e5ebacked No | 49c | 50.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 50.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…ac1ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 24c | 46.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 36c | 44.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 66c | 43.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…682fbacked Yes | 35c | 43.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 44c | 41.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 40.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 31c | 40.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…5d00backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 37.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 53c | 36.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.