Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbbdc5ee462fa8689b80ca8e3809b22a7c301e388f903fbe0c9b4ac0fb68f724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 31c | 6,927$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.44 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 76c | 1,968$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.74 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 14c | 1,264$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 32c | 1,253$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed No | 79c | 1,100$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed No | 71c | 1,006$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 79c | 977.53$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked No | 67c | 915.07$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 864.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 63c | 759.49$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.86 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 28c | 592.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 36c | 591.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 46c | 448.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 412.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 71c | 395.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 22c | 383.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4194…9809backed Yes | 39c | 378.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 50c | 342$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 317.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…fa39backed Yes | 26c | 313.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01a…e60abacked Yes | 48c | 307.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed No | 52c | 284.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 14c | 278.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…571cbacked Yes | 38c | 277.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 11c | 245.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 164 | 26.8%44 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…a4c5backed No | 56c | 245$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed No | 75c | 229.03$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Yes | 34c | 211$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 67c | 210.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 25c | 210$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…1656backed Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 17c | 163.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…dcc6backed No | 57c | 163.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…1614backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 19c | 159.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked Yes | 76c | 152.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 56c | 151.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…20bfbacked Yes | 73c | 142.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yes | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…fb14backed Yes | 42c | 139.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 43c | 132.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…bf84backed No | 79c | 127.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 66c | 123.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 119.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 158 | 35.4%56 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 40c | 115.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 78c | 112.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 30c | 111.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…0800backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked Yes | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 31c | 106.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed No | 63c | 106.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…c84dbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…a7adbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 21c | 93.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…b3d7backed Yes | 40c | 87.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 44c | 84.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked No | 56c | 84.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…e33ebacked No | 68c | 80.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 51c | 74.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…2f7dbacked No | 56c | 73.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 49c | 72.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…8059backed Yes | 22c | 69.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 19c | 67.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 61.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 59.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…59b9backed Yes | 48c | 59.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…5f35backed Yes | 20c | 52.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 34c | 52.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked Yes | 53c | 50.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 47c | 50.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…86d8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…de6cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 54c | 49.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…7e9cbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 49c | 42.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…8deebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked No | 68c | 38.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…ef76backed No | 38c | 36.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…f0ddbacked No | 60c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…6eb3backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed No | 60c | 29.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Yes | 40c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…e3e2backed Yes | 42c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…a26dbacked No | 50c | 23.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?this page
- Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.