TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdca…72c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Stocks, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.21
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.69
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+111.9%+$25.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$140.21
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$103.89
1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$54.26
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.16
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.16
Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+106.4%+$27.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Blood" or "Bloody" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.