TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers51c69,750$35,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,177.5972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Timberwolves49c55,705$27,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,276.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves49c10,412$5,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,083.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves49c6,965$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers51c6,865$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 76ers52c3,176$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.48763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers43c2,747$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves68c2,678$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves51c2,083$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed 76ers52c1,987$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.334860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves49c1,409$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Timberwolves48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.986746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves44c1,329$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed 76ers52c1,286$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves49c1,171$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.661,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Timberwolves49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0114152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers31c963.95$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.131,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves49c952.02$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves49c948.82$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked 76ers52c582.72$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves55c576.7$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked 76ers51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.136266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked 76ers52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1219258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 76ers52c446.39$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked 76ers52c437.83$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked 76ers52c437.83$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves48c416.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves38c387.39$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers52c373.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers50c304.15$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.82,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed 76ers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14710348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers34c297.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked 76ers54c295.32$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.856860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Timberwolves51c287.87$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5610255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves49c275.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers51c259.7$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.251,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked 76ers50c245.96$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed 76ers50c245.95$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…e6d4backed Timberwolves54c228.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed 76ers50c221.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.441,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed 76ers52c215.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.945269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Timberwolves45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.75147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers38c212.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Timberwolves49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked 76ers52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2410143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Timberwolves69c149.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves49c146.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.571,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…64febacked Timberwolves56c129.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.071030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-55.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked 76ers52c128.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.625448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked 76ers72c126$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7811538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed 76ers72c126$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.788040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves52c122.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.563,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked 76ers52c117.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1213052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed 76ers52c114.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers44c110.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.071,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Timberwolves49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4948152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed 76ers67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.717748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Timberwolves48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked 76ers52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8214555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5645542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Timberwolves52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5645445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed 76ers72c83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0733030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 76ers72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked 76ers53c78.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Timberwolves51c78.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7910835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed 76ers52c77.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.037751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed 76ers66c73.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Timberwolves68c72.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.035133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked 76ers52c68.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.579958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked 76ers67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed 76ers67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.587441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers47c59.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed Timberwolves49c58.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves49c56.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked 76ers52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.896762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3972…81f6backed 76ers52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers65c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed 76ers52c50.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Timberwolves46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed 76ers67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Timberwolves49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Timberwolves49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed 76ers39c48.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4321546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed 76ers52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d61…418dbacked Timberwolves52c46.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.045662.5%35 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed 76ers67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked 76ers43c45.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9717041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked 76ers43c45.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.977545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed 76ers67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.714835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 76ers72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c05…f123backed 76ers38c40.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Timberwolves49c39.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed 76ers51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers57c37.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers52c37.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.