TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves52c21,113$10,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,947.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers51c16,315$8,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,042.221,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers47c15,318$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,118.6872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves52c13,779$7,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,122.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Timberwolves50c11,480$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers50c10,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers50c9,413$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,706.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves50c8,730$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Timberwolves49c8,604$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.12445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed 76ers47c8,137$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.8829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers47c7,492$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.991,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves52c5,979$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.991,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers51c5,564$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves53c3,891$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.2887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Timberwolves51c2,243$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.967349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed 76ers47c2,014$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.4113946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked 76ers50c1,943$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.196058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers48c1,901$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves52c1,866$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.0171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves50c1,500$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed 76ers48c1,439$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed 76ers48c900.98$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5118743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves51c742.72$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 76ers48c696.54$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.225945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers50c594.8$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Timberwolves52c567.93$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Timberwolves53c558.11$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.811833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Timberwolves53c458.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Timberwolves53c429.75$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed 76ers46c408.95$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves53c363.11$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers47c329.8$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves53c323.93$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers47c323.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers51c322.78$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Timberwolves51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15326339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers51c298.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed 76ers47c249.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.484938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves59c230.51$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d6…0badbacked Timberwolves51c228.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.472927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed 76ers49c212.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5614155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers47c211.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.181,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c203.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed 76ers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves55c194.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Timberwolves50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Timberwolves50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed 76ers61c189.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.091478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Timberwolves53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves52c179.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.011,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed 76ers53c162.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Timberwolves50c148.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8424044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed 76ers47c102.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Timberwolves53c99.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9848152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Timberwolves45c98.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2718543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Timberwolves53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb377…2cc0backed 76ers48c84.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed 76ers48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5922942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Timberwolves53c68.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4768542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9dd0backed 76ers47c61.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers46c56.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.732,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers33c56.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2b…2086backed Timberwolves53c51.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves53c51.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed 76ers48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2418453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked 76ers48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2414555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed 76ers48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Timberwolves52c46.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.386144.3%27 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Timberwolves53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked 76ers54c45.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.717164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Timberwolves52c44.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.317051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Timberwolves53c43.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0523048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed 76ers48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed 76ers48c39.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves51c38.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked 76ers51c38.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8218…155bbacked Timberwolves52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.422060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed 76ers48c37.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed 76ers53c37.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.436962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Timberwolves52c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Timberwolves54c36.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9547349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf040…d11fbacked Timberwolves53c35.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.077647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked 76ers51c34.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.769057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves52c33.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked 76ers51c31.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.297846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers44c30.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed 76ers48c29.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3319357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Timberwolves53c28.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310436.5%38 W · 66 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Timberwolves53c26.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9111451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…20a3backed Timberwolves50c26.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Timberwolves52c26.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.638743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Timberwolves51c24.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.622441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers64c23.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves53c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Timberwolves51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.