NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da751909263f82df967073471b453e8408ccc448be7264b4d29204745afd6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 22,035$10,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232.68 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 13,990$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 13,624$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 12,915$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.08 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…7a71backed Over | 48c | 12,648$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 49c | 5,797$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…61b3backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 3,501$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 3,483$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.29 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 3,435$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.13 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,521$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 47c | 1,756$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.32 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…3d4abacked Over | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…d072backed Over | 48c | 1,259$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…7dc3backed Over | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.06 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.91 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.05 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 981.03$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.71 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 963.24$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 47c | 899.97$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 47c | 864.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.24 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 48c | 855.7$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.73 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 794.59$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 764.56$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 44c | 695.54$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Over | 54c | 675.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 50c | 655.72$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 53c | 650.93$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 510.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 456.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 456.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 445.09$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 55c | 406$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 367.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 347.89$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 276.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 262.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 206.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 181.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Under | 49c | 146.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 138.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 127.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 127.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 51c | 125.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 121.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 47c | 120.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 97.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 52c | 81.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 69.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 54c | 64.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Under | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 52c | 48.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Over | 49c | 48.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 53c | 32.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 49c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 51c | 29.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 26.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…39acbacked Under | 53c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)76ers won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers76ers won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.