TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers58c31,153$18,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,096.1672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Timberwolves45c14,698$6,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6142842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves41c9,838$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves42c7,556$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed 76ers60c5,462$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.8187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Timberwolves46c4,492$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.3217744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers59c3,918$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.4679549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Timberwolves47c3,890$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.2214441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves45c3,080$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed 76ers54c1,801$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves41c982.92$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 76ers54c930.22$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked 76ers54c930.13$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9219550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked 76ers54c928.32$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed 76ers52c844.21$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.1628949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves41c777.47$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves41c672.65$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.791,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers59c666.55$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Timberwolves40c633.64$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked 76ers58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked 76ers54c583.44$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers58c547.49$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves44c547$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed 76ers58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.771540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves46c499.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9924151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed 76ers59c487.7$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.964050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves44c457.23$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.931,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked 76ers56c380.25$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1616948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves43c316.7$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Timberwolves44c311.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Timberwolves41c241.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.214640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Timberwolves41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.468545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked 76ers54c197.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9815252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a89…76ecbacked 76ers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed 76ers57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked 76ers59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.788155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves53c163.88$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers59c133.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers59c133.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked 76ers59c133.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 76ers59c132.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2310850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves43c131.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers60c131.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.111,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers48c126.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.212,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked 76ers58c119.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.641,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves44c110.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.292,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed 76ers58c109.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.885269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed 76ers54c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5616053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves55c102.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.351,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed 76ers56c100.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Timberwolves45c98.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.310252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves41c98.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed 76ers54c96.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.417751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves45c91.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.265,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked 76ers54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4214555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed 76ers54c82.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.764654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Timberwolves47c81.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.326553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed 76ers58c80.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Timberwolves43c79.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3811748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked 76ers54c79.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5413052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Timberwolves51c77.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.686544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked 76ers54c70.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.469958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6b…d10abacked Timberwolves46c66.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Timberwolves61c64.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1813253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Timberwolves44c61.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0655444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed 76ers60c60.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0710753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed 76ers56c55.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4519357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves51c52.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked 76ers54c52.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.177047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers42c51.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Timberwolves47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2116947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Timberwolves47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.219854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Timberwolves49c50.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed 76ers54c49.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.013351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers59c48.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked 76ers49c48.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6162049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb1…7ef7backed Timberwolves50c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.343441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked 76ers54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed 76ers54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd86…b634backed 76ers60c44.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.974240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed 76ers59c39.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.348360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves42c38.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5129…5bcbbacked Timberwolves46c36.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers48c35.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Timberwolves47c35.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4613045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked 76ers54c32.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.135448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked 76ers60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0137344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0b…69a6backed 76ers54c31.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.622181%17 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+32.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf87…b064backed Timberwolves41c29.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686b…ca44backed 76ers54c29.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.394163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26e9…bd8cbacked Timberwolves47c28.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Timberwolves48c28.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6613038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed 76ers58c27.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked 76ers53c27.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.762568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves48c27.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf56…5885backed 76ers54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.