NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0090c51ff9413eae0ff14060d7ceeee301d0af490dbe3bccdd1d1b6b2c1147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x299f…2140backed 76ers | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.04 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 57c | 6,836$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.8 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,534$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 76ers | 46c | 2,354$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.01 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed 76ers | 43c | 2,015$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.42 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 76ers | 43c | 816.82$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 54c | 703.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 525.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed 76ers | 45c | 357.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed 76ers | 44c | 306.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Timberwolves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 56c | 299.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed 76ers | 44c | 250.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed 76ers | 47c | 221.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 56c | 214.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 76ers | 49c | 179.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 55c | 173.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 172.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed 76ers | 49c | 162.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 49c | 158.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 145.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed 76ers | 44c | 144.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 117.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 114.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 46c | 108.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 98.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Timberwolves | 56c | 87.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked 76ers | 27c | 85.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 76ers | 47c | 48.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed 76ers | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Timberwolves | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 35c | 29.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Timberwolves | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Timberwolves | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Timberwolves | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Timberwolves | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)76ers won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers76ers won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.