NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc433dd543051966b1e84db44b6d76b25ddce4848f98db7bab0475b1b175d3640

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,600 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa792…7a71backed Over	47c	29,528$13,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,877.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over	47c	17,815$8,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,372.9	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	52c	17,122$8,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,292.81	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	16,333$8,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,212.54	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	10,194$5,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,808.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	9,427$4,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,713.32	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over	47c	8,969$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,216.6	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	53c	7,139$3,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,356.24	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under	50c	4,891$2,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,445.45	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	47c	3,799$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.43	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	54c	3,220$1,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.56	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over	49c	1,976$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.02	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	53c	1,892$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.49	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	53c	1,892$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.49	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	1,188$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.61	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	51c	1,089$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.66	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over	48c	964.92$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.16	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over	47c	924.61$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.57	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	53c	916.79$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.89	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	683.04$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.51	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	675.83$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.8	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	53c	600.13$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.6	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over	46c	557.99$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.68	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	53c	546.17$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.7	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	53c	447.08$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.14	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	53c	368.77$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.34	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under	53c	366.72$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.36	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under	53c	366.72$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.36	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	53c	358.41$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.27	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	54c	286.67$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.14	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	53c	284.62$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.31	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under	50c	268.69$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.35	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-9.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	47c	206$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	76c	198.76$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.02	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over	49c	184.53$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.42	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	53c	171.85$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.77	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	45c	160.86$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.01	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	47c	148.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	47c	148.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	48c	144$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	53c	142.88$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.16	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	128.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.12	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	53c	121.68$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.19	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	50c	117.5$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.75	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under	51c	114.56$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.33	332	51.2%170 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over	46c	105.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over	46c	96.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	46c	96.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under	53c	91.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under	54c	90.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	16c	89.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	51c	69.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.31	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	51c	58.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.73	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	51c	58.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.73	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Over	43c	57.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Under	54c	54.05$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.86	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under	51c	51.38$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.18	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…2cc0backed Over	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under	53c	45.84$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Under	63c	43.47$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.04	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	52c	41.04$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.52	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	55c	36.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	219	52.5%115 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483b…027ebacked Over	47c	33.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over	49c	33.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over	47c	30.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	53c	28.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.56	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9f…5734backed Under	53c	27.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.93	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…20a3backed Under	50c	26.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	50c	25.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under	53c	23.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	53c	22.18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.46	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43c…b014backed Under	74c	14.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5this page
1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Timberwolves won
1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)76ers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)76ers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)76ers won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers76ers won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 208.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event