TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under47c33,625$15,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,858.5643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under51c19,412$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,511.8810949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c18,072$8,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,855.471,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c13,577$7,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,070.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c13,566$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,987.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c10,622$5,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,756.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under50c4,152$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.1114441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c4,017$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.937365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over41c2,800$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over50c2,282$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c2,244$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.6721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over52c2,209$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.0311235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c2,090$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.061,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c1,970$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.5326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c1,847$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.631,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c1,535$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over52c1,457$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.545945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over2c1,245$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,160$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.241,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c1,113$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.2190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,071$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c978.57$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.142,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c927.44$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Under46c873.76$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.535549.1%27 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under59c665.63$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under46c576.81$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4811243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under47c550.14$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c533$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.721,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c500.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.59749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over44c464.22$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under57c447.42$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c445.56$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.492,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c431.65$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under46c397.82$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.827350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Under76c389.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.543860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c351.79$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under51c314.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.875538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2508…e25cbacked Over21c312.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over50c289.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c278.58$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under50c252.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over52c232.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.113554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over27c230.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.752245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over52c224.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.899652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over44c221.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under47c203.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under70c202.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c197.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over52c192.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.023243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c171.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c164.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over52c163.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.875463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c147.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.071,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under50c145.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over43c142.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.24134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c126.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Under46c121.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.716643.9%29 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c113.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.018850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under48c111.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.725736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over52c106.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5518534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b7…63b5backed Under46c96.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5314444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19a6…fccfbacked Over51c94.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Over11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.412744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over13c94.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8929449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under49c76.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.149641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over51c75.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.446553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under70c71.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c70.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over52c67.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.125250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over51c64.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8452552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c62.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over51c60.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.949150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…acd8backed Under50c57.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over43c57.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over51c56.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.693348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.149646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x899f…3e95backed Over31c55.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.153560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.