MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8a5aba2f67a3f17dff5b4b6717feaf910f318f9e6f697853589ca9d19b78b6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: St. Louis Cardinalsof Los Angeles Dodgers, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,413 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	4,437$1,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.18	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed St. Louis Cardinals	58c	4,311$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,810.68	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	3,184$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.93	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers	42c	2,096$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.36	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	1,845$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.87	311	49.2%153 W · 158 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	1,765$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.82	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	1,400$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers	37c	1,165$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.7	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	999.96$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.98	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers	42c	918.66$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.02	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	820.18$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.7	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals	52c	656.98$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.35	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed St. Louis Cardinals	58c	574.14$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.14	136	55.1%75 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers	39c	506.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked St. Louis Cardinals	57c	324$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.32	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals	66c	235.59$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.49	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	227.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	200.1$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.04	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Los Angeles Dodgers	42c	175.91$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.88	186	48.4%90 W · 96 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	170.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4beb…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	164.28$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.64	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…72c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	162.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.26per pick	49cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers	28c	159.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	136.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	664	48.2%320 W · 344 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	106.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.46	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	31c	103.9$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	101.09$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.48	143	53.1%76 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed St. Louis Cardinals	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	91.23$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.23	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…ceafbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	88.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.86	226	53.1%120 W · 106 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8a…47d1backed St. Louis Cardinals	65c	83.63$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers	35c	78.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals	58c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.35	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	73.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	35c	71.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd87e…20ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	36c	69.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+40%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Los Angeles Dodgers	41c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	42c	52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	393	44.3%174 W · 219 L	-22.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed St. Louis Cardinals	61c	51.28$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.06	1,367	54.3%742 W · 625 L	+16.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked St. Louis Cardinals	59c	50.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.55	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+10.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5a…59b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	215	54.9%118 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	43.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals	55c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked St. Louis Cardinals	73c	36.8$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2322…9f81backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	36.18$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	37c	33.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	235	22.6%53 W · 182 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	32.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals	58c	32.03$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.45	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed St. Louis Cardinals	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94b4…1eccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	27.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Los Angeles Dodgers	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed St. Louis Cardinals	77c	26.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	290	47.6%138 W · 152 L	-11.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	24.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	20.01$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event