TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd87e…20eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.17
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$159.02
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.38
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.75
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.02
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.56
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.63
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.58
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.51
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$109.59
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.96
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.51
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$18.08
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.07
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.9
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$113.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.91
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$12.93
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.95
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.22
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$64.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$85.89
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.14
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.81
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6.46
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.42
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.38
CA Independiente vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.51
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.61
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.55
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.85
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$22.06
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+147%+$29.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.3
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$34.04
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.62
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.42
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.99
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$23.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.88
Santa Cruz: Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.21
Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.55
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$15.37
Sao Paulo: Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$24.15
Miami Open, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Maddison Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.24
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.