South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51011d337396c460dc17babde28775a34a545e0cea79dfbf4a6f9728e96cf2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 7,258$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 5,004$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 4,121$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.45 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 3,512$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 35c | 1,250$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.12 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 45c | 864.62$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.54 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 801.39$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 25c | 517.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 48c | 512.85$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 447.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 324.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 31c | 162.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 145.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 119.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 111.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 54c | 108.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 17c | 108.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 98.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 26c | 96.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 94.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 93.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 82.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 75.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 69.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 76c | 61.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed No | 29c | 58.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 43.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 42.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked Yes | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 54c | 37.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 33.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 31.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 53c | 29.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 46c | 28.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 52c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…dbd2backed No | 45c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 49c | 26.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 23.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 59c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.