South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe322cbbc270aca457dda45642679dab648a997631642b82f6d0f3cac70fb4460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.6 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 3,786$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.81 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,091$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.67 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 69c | 1,999$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,909$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.84 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,298$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 1,275$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.25 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 28c | 892$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 390.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 243.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…858fbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 137.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5ef7backed Yes | 29c | 132$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…6c4abacked Yes | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…d2b7backed Yes | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…c275backed Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…e29dbacked Yes | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…6a6cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 88.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 30c | 86.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 71c | 84.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…a26bbacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 74c | 63.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…2185backed No | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe364…2d04backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…f417backed No | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 69c | 51.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 30c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…85a5backed No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…190dbacked No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed No | 73c | 45.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…441abacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 30c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…ef8dbacked No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3c40backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…dfcabacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…7cddbacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e37…b4d5backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…49c0backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 72c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…e714backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…b104backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…15fbbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 70c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…b664backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…e7f9backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 74c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 13.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.