South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ca6c6763cb6356c9b8bd540a3ce0986991a884bcd79a9316c22d24e2ce501d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,033 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,519$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 42c | 659.58$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 529.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 49c | 407.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 345.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 342.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 207.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 53c | 188.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 176.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 153.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 135.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 48c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 106.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 105.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 87.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 68.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 48.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 59c | 39.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 37.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…4ab0backed Yes | 37c | 31.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 46c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 48c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 60c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.