South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60f8dbc1c79e2b572e20079878c34525cda5dba6d5f1b55a96097d7800b5134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,270 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 6,000$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.97 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 4,892$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.09 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,968$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.06 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 68c | 1,275$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 744.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 689.89$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 594.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 375$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 249.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 196.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 162.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 158$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 28c | 147.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…6acdbacked Yes | 32c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 93.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…f1c4backed Yes | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 57c | 61.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 60.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…c42dbacked No | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 49.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 34c | 46.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 71c | 39.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…12c4backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 31c | 32.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…e43ebacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 27.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 67c | 26.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 72c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 59c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed No | 70c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.