MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c820fbb4af83b457fe6323fe3cf16ac97731a1b1826f1dfbf7e7e8537685a7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Houston Astros, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Houston Astros | 41c | 46,415$18,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 33,415$22,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,087.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 26,962$14,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,818.02 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 26,649$15,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,618.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 12,820$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 44c | 11,998$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,749$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.34 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 9,896$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 7,967$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.63 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 6,741$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Houston Astros | 39c | 6,133$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.87 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 44c | 6,020$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.79 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 5,900$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.96 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,700$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.27 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 48c | 3,586$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,305$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,229$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.78 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,926$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,727$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 2,685$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.19 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,539$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 24c | 2,415$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.61 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,320$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.54 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,166$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.72 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 2,112$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.09 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,029$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 2,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Houston Astros | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,913$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,897$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,872$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.72 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,834$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,786$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,564$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.46 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,507$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.38 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,452$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.43 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,419$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,384$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,342$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.24 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,285$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,251$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 1,225$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.4 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Houston Astros | 77c | 1,225$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.64 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,171$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.48 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,087$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,044$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.75 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,003$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.07 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 992.76$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.41 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 986.02$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.18 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 984.4$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 70c | 979.62$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 976.68$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 954.73$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.13 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 954.47$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.61 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 946.25$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.12 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 940.94$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…1e69backed Houston Astros | 58c | 920.57$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…fafabacked Seattle Mariners | 80c | 918.44$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 911.5$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 895.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.01 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 855.41$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.77 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 836.69$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 821.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 809.1$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 787.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 769.58$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 753.93$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.26 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 746.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 743.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Houston Astros | 50c | 711.88$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…16dbbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 708.41$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 681.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 629.89$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 616.65$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 548$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 541.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros | 36c | 535.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.56 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 45c | 513.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 480$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Houston Astros | 17c | 462.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 450.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 424.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 394.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 391.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 380.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 379.65$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…675bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 375.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Houston Astros | 29c | 354.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…4602backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 352.16$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 337.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 15.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 16.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.