MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912096a5d3636334f637ed317fd942ae64513f1ae17615c35594377dc105fa11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 53,918$19,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,379.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 40,507$14,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,582.47 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 28,387$18,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,219.19 | 266 | 48.1%128 W · 138 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 22,678$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 19,522$12,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.59 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 14,757$9,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.67 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 12,500$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 11,399$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 10,087$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.48 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 9,650$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.88 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 9,292$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.92 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 7,519$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 5,160$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.37 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 5,144$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.13 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 4,589$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.62 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 4,287$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 3,826$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 3,712$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.53 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,896$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.68 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 2,546$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 2,508$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,445$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.46 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…669bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 2,391$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 2,201$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.06 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 2,037$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 1,978$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.86 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,977$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 458 | 51.1%234 W · 224 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 1,756$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 1,637$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.52 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,467$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.68 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,352$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.38 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,280$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 1,245$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…35d9backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,228$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,205$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 1,109$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,101$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,051$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.15 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,051$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 1,033$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,016$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…b409backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 991.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 989.07$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 971.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 967.52$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 967.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 853$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 824.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 814.86$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaa…9f09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 808.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 794.77$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 793.72$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 752.63$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 700.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 626.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 579.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.36 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 557.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,206 | 29.1%351 W · 855 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 535.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 498.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 490.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 484.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 475.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 446.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,160 | 42.6%494 W · 666 L | -40.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 433.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 390.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 380.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 378.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 377.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 364.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 344.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 330.29$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 328$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 322.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 322.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 300.35$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 295.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 285.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 274.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 261.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 258.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 244.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 596 | 43.1%257 W · 339 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 233$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 817 | 57%466 W · 351 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 220.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 219.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…091dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 216.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 210$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.