TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc118…54c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.57
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.28
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82%+$94.62
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.56
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$147.44
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.18
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$54.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$46.53
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+413.4%+$538.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.22
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.77
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$34.4
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$124.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.1
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$34.75
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Savannah: Braden Shick vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erelbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.02
Savannah: Daniel Galan vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$27.68
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Abidjan: Sebastian Gima vs Niels Viskerbacked Sebastian Gima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.59
Abidjan: Michael Geerts vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+625.2%+$444.65
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+785.7%+$579.53
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$332.65
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$22.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Heerenveen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United Jets FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$33.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$24.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.