South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf727a0f25ae110d7068359452ca4b0efaa4792b2ac77e2f782a57dde11f03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 5,121$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 61c | 2,060$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.63 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,721$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,573$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 38c | 1,346$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.67 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 1,154$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 73c | 704.37$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 9c | 624.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 9c | 619.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 39c | 588.31$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 35c | 534.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 39c | 497.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 61c | 484.28$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 414.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed No | 62c | 370.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 65c | 352.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 30c | 319.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 9c | 286.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 277.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 17c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 39c | 245.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 37c | 221.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…7371backed Yes | 38c | 221.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 8c | 213.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 208$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 65c | 196.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 36c | 186.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 184.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 9c | 181.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 36c | 173.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 33c | 145.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 38c | 131.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 128.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 39c | 126.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 9c | 114.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 38c | 114.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 109.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 86.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 31c | 78.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 17c | 69.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…004abacked Yes | 31c | 65.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 65c | 64.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed No | 62c | 62.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 65c | 60.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 61c | 56.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 63c | 43.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 39.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…e908backed No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 69c | 29.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 36c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.