CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aa5443689ca4fc11ab5242bd29a1d64ac67f8d0959ec74330d01e5b1686f4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Alliance, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alliance | 52c | 2,305$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 2,124$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 961.72$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 653.21$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 534.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 297.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 255.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…e719backed Alliance | 48c | 227.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 198.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Alliance | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 141.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Alliance | 29c | 139$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Alliance | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Alliance | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Alliance | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Alliance | 50c | 96.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Alliance | 60c | 92.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 60c | 87.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Alliance | 37c | 86.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Alliance | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Alliance | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 65.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Alliance | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 35c | 56.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Alliance | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 43.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Alliance | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 36.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Alliance | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 26.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Alliance | 54c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Alliance | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.