CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f9875f0eb8b58b6c1862e5aaba6be76e005b920aaf4d6d04a11a36a30c7478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Alliance, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.96 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alliance | 62c | 7,442$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.75 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 66c | 5,917$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Alliance | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.61 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Alliance | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 963.34$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 715.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Alliance | 33c | 598.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 553.49$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 66c | 487.1$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Alliance | 25c | 379.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 66c | 369.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Alliance | 46c | 363.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 58c | 361.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Alliance | 42c | 317.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 40c | 294.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 284.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Alliance | 67c | 273.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 45c | 250.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…2e8ebacked Alliance | 55c | 238$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Alliance | 65c | 203.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 43c | 199.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Alliance | 66c | 151.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 139.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Alliance | 32c | 137.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 130.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 66c | 118.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 113.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 103.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Alliance | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 96.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…4141backed Alliance | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Alliance | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Alliance | 26c | 67.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Alliance | 66c | 59.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Alliance | 66c | 55.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Alliance | 39c | 55.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Alliance | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 51.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…f707backed Alliance | 23c | 49.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Alliance | 64c | 45.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 43.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Alliance | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…4e59backed Alliance | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Alliance | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 35.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Alliance | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 65c | 34.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Alliance | 49c | 30.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Alliance | 54c | 29.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…5045backed Alliance | 53c | 29.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 27.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 27.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…c2a1backed Alliance | 72c | 27.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Alliance | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Alliance | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…366ebacked Alliance | 70c | 16.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.