TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9975…c2a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.96
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.25
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$15.26
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$8.95
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$6.97
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$4.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$5.23
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$8.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$9.43
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$9.09
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$14.36
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72%+$10.51
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$11.51
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+172.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+241%+$34.27
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$13.79
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$7.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26%+$3.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.