TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes37c40,770$15,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,158.4116045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c10,751$6,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.093,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes45c10,723$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No57c6,672$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.164341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes15c4,964$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.35457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c4,474$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7288932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes44c4,393$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No56c4,322$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.534050%20 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c4,100$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c3,449$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.012,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No58c3,309$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.933836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c3,298$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.9934547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c3,134$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.0648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c2,857$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.41,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c2,660$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2964043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes35c1,895$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.419646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes16c1,827$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.312867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.927254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c1,720$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9538748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No58c1,714$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.745168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455870.7%41 W · 17 L+10.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No57c1,320$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1928755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes46c1,219$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.096264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes15c1,139$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8244655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes45c1,114$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.097639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c999.97$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.729855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Yes44c985.94$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.22030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes34c896.61$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3914652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes26c877.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.561338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes31c809.41$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.433938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes34c808$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5616060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c669.87$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.521,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes44c658.16$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5920845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes43c589.76$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.012343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.144129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.999150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes12c480.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No59c451.89$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3113139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1624050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes38c405.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes3c405.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.166232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17223046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes42c399.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes10c383.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.312425%6 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c381.76$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1140744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No55c365.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes26c328.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.192832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c307$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.112560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484025%10 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes23c264.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.715928.8%17 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd1e…f62bbacked Yes46c262.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes15c253.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.962853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No57c229.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.895156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5817549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Yes43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No55c206.11$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.753132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes15c197.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.659742.3%41 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes36c197.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.142642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c196.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3639857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f7d…2669backed No58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes43c194.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.471662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No57c189.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes10c189.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.924524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c177.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.449354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No57c177.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.084153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes26c170.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2812141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.597268.1%49 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No61c162.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.753351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c151.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5742046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.55771.9%41 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No57c149.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.498756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c149.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c148.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7949143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c8…c50abacked Yes43c145.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes33c145.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.89175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-86%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No63c140.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.029265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes43c134.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes36c133.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.496665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Yes19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c123.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6111356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes10c122.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-76.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c115.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2627554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c10…2e23backed Yes42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2a…c0d8backed Yes43c114.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes35c108.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.014759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x562a…a736backed Yes46c105.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes46c104.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.383964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No60c103.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.658844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c101$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4462452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438458.3%49 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.