Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79468fcbef59e480109fe0813c073121236f73f60402858869d8d1382e0d73fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 8,240$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.95 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 7,682$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.03 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 3,737$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.22 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,801$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,171$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,454$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 65c | 1,055$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 25c | 803.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 12c | 762.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 29c | 460$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed No | 69c | 454.07$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 34c | 423.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 71c | 357.67$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 35c | 296.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 213.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 10c | 209.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 10c | 196.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 35c | 192.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 156$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…e7d4backed Yes | 33c | 146.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked No | 67c | 143.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 71c | 138.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 129.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 35c | 126.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 66c | 110.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 98.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…b731backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 93.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 36c | 93.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 92.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed Yes | 32c | 91.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 83.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Yes | 36c | 81.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 75.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 65c | 73.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 64.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 31c | 62.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 68c | 61.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 59.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…eb25backed Yes | 32c | 49.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 34c | 48.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 46.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 66c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 31c | 39.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 69c | 37.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 35c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 32c | 32.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 38c | 28.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 66c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 21.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 68c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 68c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.