Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495d130fde084b5a787c8798f404cf967f94f797dcd608a395ac990e3cf8074d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 71c | 20,853$14,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,782.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 27c | 13,956$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,130.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 28c | 10,334$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 26c | 9,225$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.02 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 8,741$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.85 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 72c | 8,047$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 4,656$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 4,060$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.42 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 3,795$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.11 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 2,952$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.98 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 34c | 2,241$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.38 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 41c | 1,943$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…6a8dbacked No | 73c | 1,296$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…f97fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,268$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 1,251$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Yes | 27c | 1,240$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 1,200$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.02 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 73c | 1,127$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Yes | 27c | 1,054$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 905.48$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 27c | 840$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 65c | 759.01$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 737.53$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.58 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 731.99$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.03 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 631.39$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 7c | 582.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 552.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 509$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.66 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 504.38$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.15 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 72c | 460$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 388.26$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.43 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 28c | 372.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 40c | 352.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 285.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 62c | 274.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 272.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 34c | 235.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 207.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 40c | 195$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 40c | 188.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 72c | 187.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 177.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 25c | 177.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 27c | 176.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 172.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 169.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 47c | 168.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 165.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 156.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 35c | 152.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 149.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 73c | 146.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…fd4bbacked Yes | 32c | 142.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 138.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 70c | 123.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 26c | 123.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 120.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 45c | 118.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 74c | 115.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 48c | 107.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 34c | 102.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 73c | 100.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 37c | 98.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 27c | 96.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 33c | 91.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 90.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 25c | 85.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 81.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 73c | 76.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 74.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 57c | 73.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 47c | 72.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 70c | 71.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 71.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Yes | 69c | 71.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 32c | 68.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.