TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c32,195$18,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,012.352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under43c8,981$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.822853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c8,340$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.091,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under43c4,938$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.336347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c4,807$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.671,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c4,759$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.8687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over57c3,267$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over56c3,008$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.955947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over57c2,393$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.893834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over58c2,036$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.98944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8607549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under43c1,950$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.55151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c1,819$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.969458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over58c1,748$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.162642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,200$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under41c1,197$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.793250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over58c974.8$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.423828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over55c887.94$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.575238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c850$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.55251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under42c818.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.334143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over69c805.04$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3445251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3444447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3444753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c756.93$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over60c740.25$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under42c738.22$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.053053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c733.11$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c677.22$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3422745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over75c656.97$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.493557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under42c628.65$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.962832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under41c490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.696654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.696051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under42c443.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.486357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c421.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6116448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over62c362.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.959348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under41c349$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.093551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under42c289.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.624553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over59c278.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3110942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c263.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.627648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c224.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.899046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over57c223.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under43c203$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.291650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c198.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under42c194.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over60c193.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over59c193.43$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.33174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c163.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over57c147.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.342944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.598254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over68c122.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.862475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over60c113.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over57c104.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.917953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.547352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over72c90.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.926046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under27c89.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over57c87.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over58c87.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under35c87.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under42c86.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over51c75.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.587869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over74c73.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.194348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over53c66.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.286759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4325…39b8backed Over59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Over59c65.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over60c65.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0310964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Over59c64.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+175.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.625151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under42c57.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.134555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.773444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.054254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over55c51.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over74c49.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.162552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6446450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over59c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3624051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2878…2e36backed Over53c35.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+92.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over73c33.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Over60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.