Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77fac540e24f0825f6214b2e3a9b53da3f83afd4337bed7e59cae6f77cbd99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 58c | 5,599$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 4,507$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.26 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 2,782$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 44c | 2,135$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.68 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 1,649$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.53 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 1,412$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.5 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 76c | 1,282$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,094$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 55c | 690.2$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 543.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 20c | 528.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 523.08$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 516.69$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Over | 55c | 274$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 236$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 20c | 214.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 57c | 208.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 19c | 190.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 7c | 184.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 179.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 171.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 131.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 128.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 56c | 118.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 26c | 109.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 29c | 95.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 55c | 88.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 55c | 86.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 50c | 83.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Under | 46c | 79.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 51c | 67.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 56c | 65.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Under | 26c | 56.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 46.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 60c | 43.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 27c | 38.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Under | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 55c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 57c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 80c | 18.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.