Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48fbddbe79d97149ecdcce672f58c3e59a433fef026c55b18288f681079f553b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 3,412$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 74c | 2,999$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.66 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 1,752$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.38 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 44c | 604.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 16c | 546.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 500.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 56c | 297.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 78c | 296.62$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 290.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 78c | 253.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Yes | 70c | 203.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 80c | 172.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 44c | 133.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 121.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 114.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 24c | 109.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 46c | 105.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 32c | 101.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Yes | 75c | 99.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 95.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 30c | 76.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 68.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 56c | 57.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 54.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 57c | 51.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…ac0fbacked No | 44c | 40.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…f6acbacked Yes | 57c | 40.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 55c | 39.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…2e36backed No | 49c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…6336backed Yes | 78c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Yes | 57c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.