Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1e89b9a708fdbf919c87003115d25a3db591ca5798cd446c0f18c83eff323a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Stade Brestois 29, Racing Club de Lens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 2,150$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 10c | 1,200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Stade Brestois 29 | 33c | 1,056$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.41 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 971.5$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.31 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 786.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 72c | 621.73$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 444.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Stade Brestois 29 | 31c | 240.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stade Brestois 29 | 40c | 185.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Racing Club de Lens | 60c | 163.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stade Brestois 29 | 51c | 163$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 79c | 158.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Racing Club de Lens | 37c | 157.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 25c | 112.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 33c | 96.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 33c | 72.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 37c | 58.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Racing Club de Lens | 34c | 54.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 48c | 40.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 37.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Racing Club de Lens | 51c | 33.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Racing Club de Lens | 58c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Racing Club de Lens | 53c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Stade Brestois 29 | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Racing Club de Lens | 63c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.