Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbece72561e81acb9a9e69bf27a282c90ef56268317ced9e7137045fbf52c90be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 4,245$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.86 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 2,463$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,527$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 80c | 1,482$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 1,223$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 79c | 314.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 262.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 260.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 19c | 219.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 22c | 197.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 19c | 187.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 80c | 152.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 23c | 102.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 75.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 77c | 64.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 80c | 44.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 76c | 23.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.