TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes29c67,740$19,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,589.3915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c62,888$45,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,594.824,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2974…95d6backed Yes38c32,381$12,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,378.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes1c18,248$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c17,732$13,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.731,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c15,006$10,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.2684144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c11,985$8,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.51,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c11,655$8,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.483,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed Yes28c10,653$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.841070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes29c6,527$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.411942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes28c5,072$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.383847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c4,869$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No77c4,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94040033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c3,997$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.3258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No76c3,942$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c3,928$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.7918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c3,801$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.8921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f11…41c8backed Yes27c3,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c3,443$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.6910760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes10c3,412$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7780%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c3,294$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.6762258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa890…1a32backed Yes19c2,724$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes40c2,420$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.91435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No76c2,345$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7415442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c2,057$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.6784939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes26c2,010$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes26c1,874$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes19c1,822$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2224245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes29c1,643$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.748343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No71c1,611$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.227950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes30c1,277$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…3455backed Yes20c1,233$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5750%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,189$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.931,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c1,092$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c1,069$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.91,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c1,048$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3343250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes28c1,025$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6909736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Yes29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes17c990.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.331442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No73c983.8$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6311566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes20c968.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.366437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes18c899.65$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6323727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c882.64$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.057667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes28c811.67$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed No14c800$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick13cpaid+312.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed No14c800$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c787.52$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.769556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed No13c700$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick13cpaid+313%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked No13c700$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+204.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No73c675.88$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5327958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c645.18$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c643.65$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3515151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No16c600$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5071822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes27c559.55$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.083923.1%9 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes21c552.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.494537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No74c492.2$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9712166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c486.88$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.571,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No74c486.72$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.923843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes26c477.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.23933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No74c468.96$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9313062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c464.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7311342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes21c457.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes28c444.19$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.378140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c437.6$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8365356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Yes26c367.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c365.92$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes27c349.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6411140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c348.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7744840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No73c338.75$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5526154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Yes14c334.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.435149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No13c325$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+315.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No77c313.85$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.974047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes30c301.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3917526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No73c295.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.698758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No73c278.91$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.33345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes28c273.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.546926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes25c270.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6711820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.172965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked No75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.672250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c255.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9420630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed No7c254.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.931414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+144.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No74c252.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7813362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed No77c252.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.473850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes39c245.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x060b…ce1cbacked Yes14c222.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No80c217.18$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.444753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Yes27c212.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No75c209.81$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.359931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No71c207$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c203.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked No20c201.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked No7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+240.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed No7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No14c200$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.251315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.