MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96dfa9500c380451946ea87156bdc045a7e20ad00124f8b9c8cca85c41cc0f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 128,321$54,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,179.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 62,000$35,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,960 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 48,012$27,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,366.92 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 45,215$18,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,224.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 29,057$14,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 23,179$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,212.14 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 22,420$13,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,003.83 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 15,377$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,809.92 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 11,342$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.44 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 11,144$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.79 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 9,711$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.45 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 9,602$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 9,568$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 9,000$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 8,184$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,390$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 7,226$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.87 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 6,894$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.69 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 6,853$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.54 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 6,723$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.2 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 6,672$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.72 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 6,546$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.09 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 5,189$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.33 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 5,187$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.97 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,984$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 4,408$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.97 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,651$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.5 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,103$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.16 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,065$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,865$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.53 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,840$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.69 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,807$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.75 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 2,768$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,760$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.29 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,671$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.42 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 2,622$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.15 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,587$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,323$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.45 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,113$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,088$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,974$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,874$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.61 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,840$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,740$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.88 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 1,668$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,609$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.24 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,598$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 1,554$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,519$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 1,416$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.53 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…6a83backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,346$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 1,328$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.15 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,270$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.55 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,151$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…0679backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,054$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.27 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 932.32$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.98 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 869.22$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 841.93$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 817.87$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 804.08$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 802.03$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 794.79$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 779.1$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.25 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 726.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 708.26$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 708.07$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 702.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.39 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 702$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.56 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 675.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…7baabacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 664.93$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 616.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.63 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 605$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 600.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 600.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 592.55$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 558.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 534.55$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.38 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 534.01$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 506$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 501.08$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 477.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 477.49$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 469.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 466.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.