MLB · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19823c548f52d2f13dfbcf22721b52e567b8c15c2efb7d95ff86a050fb257025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 10,200$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.17 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 6,849$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.95 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,988$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.18 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 891.43$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 576.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 564.24$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 408.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 378.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 355.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 355.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 311.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 299.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 284.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 211.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 191.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 188.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 162.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 157.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 129.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 125.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 125.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 118.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 97.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 95.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 92.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 83.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 72.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 68.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 65c | 60.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 58.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 56.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 49.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 43.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 43.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 42.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 42.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 40.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 38.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 34.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 32.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Chicago White Sox | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 84 | 84.5%71 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.