MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e21696aaf491029c1617be769f6710dee3ca6d91af34d7d57a0fe5e96a9365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 14,360$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.71 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 53c | 9,140$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.13 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 54c | 8,210$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.74 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 49c | 6,032$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.89 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,155$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.02 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,990$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.75 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 2,517$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.13 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 2,258$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.39 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,134$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 1,514$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.23 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 1,480$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.82 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 1,164$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…af89backed Over | 53c | 1,148$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…e703backed Over | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…2756backed Over | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…86c2backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 996.63$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Over | 50c | 984.55$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 978.49$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 51c | 958.02$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.83 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 51c | 697.02$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.17 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 666.75$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 627.48$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 10c | 475.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 472.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 415$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 363.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 272.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 27c | 253.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 216.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Under | 49c | 196.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 194.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 174.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 49c | 157.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 157.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 150.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 48c | 145.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 44c | 123.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…adb6backed Under | 49c | 121.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…feccbacked Over | 50c | 121.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 121.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…a834backed Under | 51c | 101.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 98.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Over | 50c | 94.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 53c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 52c | 70.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 42c | 69.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 46c | 69.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 69.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 48c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…2381backed Under | 57c | 62.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 62.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Under | 49c | 62.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 62.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 55.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 51c | 53.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 48c | 48.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 45c | 45.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Under | 50c | 43.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 41.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…1075backed Under | 48c | 39.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 47c | 38.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 38.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Over | 51c | 36.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 47c | 32.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 27.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 52c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 52c | 25.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 45c | 24.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…9be0backed Under | 56c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 48c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.