TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c14,360$6,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.711,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over53c9,140$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.1316347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Under54c8,210$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.744057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over49c6,032$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.8916947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over51c3,155$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.0212551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c2,990$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.751,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c2,517$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.131,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c2,258$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.392,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c2,134$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0672,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c1,514$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.232,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70523244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c1,480$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.821,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,164$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.226,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fcf…af89backed Over53c1,148$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa395…e703backed Over53c1,142$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9326…2756backed Over53c1,063$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01a…86c2backed Over52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c996.63$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.454,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over50c984.55$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.284447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c978.49$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.631,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under51c958.02$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over51c697.02$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c666.75$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c627.48$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.841,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over10c475.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.34548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c472.53$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.811,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c415$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0148354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19422448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2438455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c363.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over54c291.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.531,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c272.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.91,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over27c253.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.36434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over47c216.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.612,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.952458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Under49c196.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.368446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c194.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0122248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c174.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under49c157.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3179543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c157.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c150.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.471,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under48c145.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.744744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over44c123.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.199349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ddd…adb6backed Under49c121.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24c3…feccbacked Over50c121.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over48c121.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.065,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9543247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f29…a834backed Under51c101.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.485650%28 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c98.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2461948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…3970backed Over50c94.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.483847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over53c90.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.639553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over52c70.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7420044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over42c69.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3915037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under46c69.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4127351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over44c69.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Under48c63.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.932152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28cf…2381backed Under57c62.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c62.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae26…e478backed Under49c62.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.661450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under51c62.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c55.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.381,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under51c53.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9926853.4%143 W · 125 L+1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2420955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under48c48.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.278450%42 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over39c48.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7924748.2%119 W · 128 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over45c45.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4737143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Under50c43.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.935341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over52c41.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.791,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c40.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5882551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…1075backed Under48c39.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under48c38.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.157635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under46c38.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.986653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c38.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6699624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over47c38.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9722554.7%123 W · 102 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over47c38.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Over51c36.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over47c32.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4422949.8%114 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over45c27.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.516,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under62c26.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over52c25.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.427252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over52c25.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over45c24.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1513552.6%71 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over45c24.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over49c24.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9220258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38da…9be0backed Under56c22.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under48c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2318551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.