TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d0a…dda0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$121.6
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.96
Madrid Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+202.6%+$26.47
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.42
Madrid Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$9.3
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.66
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$10.03
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.47
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$378
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$12,854.82
Joao Fonseca vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$3,127.51
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,550.73
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Iryna Shymanovich vs Tatjana Mariabacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.85
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$3,308.77
Set Handicap: Tagger (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)backed Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$272.17
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$11.65
Cap Cana: Nicolas Jarry vs Adam Waltonbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$22
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,565.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,068.81
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.4
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,311Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$7,613.25
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.79
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,579Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$2,004.12
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,175.41
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,606.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.81
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,497.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$169.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$798.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)backed CA Barracas Central · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,414.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.