MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f8c0664623db2325fe2cd180a28052ca78fcf510ddf3c802f66ded2ca66587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof St. Louis Cardinals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 78,280$33,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,660.5 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 51,670$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,299.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 48,710$27,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,945.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 46,289$27,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,734.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 33,473$19,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,282.53 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 32,367$13,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,917.72 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 17,741$10,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.08 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 17,247$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.98 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 15,838$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 14,745$8,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,418.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 13,311$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 12,700$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.98 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 11,466$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.41 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 10,726$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.35 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 10,259$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 9,708$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 9,658$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.94 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 9,212$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 7,998$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 7,794$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.25 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 7,794$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.25 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,310$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 6,223$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.26 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 5,127$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.77 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,971$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.02 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,856$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 4,772$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,492$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.6 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 4,123$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.4 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,779$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,686$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.59 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,464$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.94 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,438$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.97 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,921$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 2,734$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,401$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.66 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 2,279$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,994$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.09 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,948$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.81 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,948$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.81 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 1,905$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,849$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,756$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,562$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,510$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,496$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.16 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,390$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,367$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.94 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 1,321$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,304$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,292$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.61 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 1,277$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,230$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 1,199$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 1,141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,096$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.84 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,012$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…c602backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 980.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 933.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 731.4$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 722.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 647.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 630.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 622.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 616.18$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 580.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 575.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 565.45$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 556.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 548.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 531.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 530.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 522.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 501.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 501.66$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 496.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 489.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 463.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 452.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 441.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 431.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 392.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 385.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.