MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b8d318355c9fedde46947787741640e385460b2c768430882421b562f57438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Under | 72c | 10,030$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Under | 54c | 8,643$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.64 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 4,515$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 3,778$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.09 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 3c | 3,600$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,375.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 2c | 3,592$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +597.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 33c | 3,073$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 2,432$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.85 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 3c | 1,925$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 1,925$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 3c | 1,904$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 1,595$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.66 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 1,546$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.58 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,134$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 6c | 1,125$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.25 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 45c | 1,071$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.54 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 12c | 825$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 814.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.21 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 800$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 793.71$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 3c | 770$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.2 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 49c | 722.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 46c | 708.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 681.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 42c | 621.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 536.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 528.12$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.32 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 28c | 490.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 483.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 59c | 405.61$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 339.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.69 | 284 | 50.7%144 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 51c | 317.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…8761backed Under | 48c | 254.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 226.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 52c | 221.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 62c | 205.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 170.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 156.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 153.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Under | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 145.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 73c | 142.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 136.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Over | 50c | 131.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 124.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 120.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 659 | 49.2%324 W · 335 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 111.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 109.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Over | 41c | 100.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 69c | 83.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 77.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 77.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 62c | 72.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 58c | 70.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 61c | 65.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 48c | 58.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 55.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Over | 40c | 55.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 46c | 53.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 50c | 52.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 49.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 60c | 49.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 51c | 46.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 60c | 35.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 35.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 67c | 33.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 54c | 32.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 76c | 31.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 51c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 47c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…323abacked Under | 66c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.