TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$811,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$808,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team61c192,854$117,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,032.4828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BetBoom Team61c69,079$42,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,611.3528159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team59c64,028$37,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,257.771,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit41c50,125$20,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,463.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Spirit38c46,303$17,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,538.314940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Team Spirit38c45,205$17,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,169.916852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit34c42,209$14,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,560.7740051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit21c33,964$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.2789341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit41c33,477$13,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,688.6317452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit38c28,884$10,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,975.9233746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit41c24,807$10,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,170.7229042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Team Spirit40c19,621$7,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.619055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit42c17,326$7,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,191.816147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Spirit43c15,738$6,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,767.2515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Spirit40c12,550$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.1918351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Team Spirit41c11,763$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,82339042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed BetBoom Team59c11,522$6,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.334045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team Spirit37c11,456$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.222647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit38c10,292$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.8739343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team57c10,037$5,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.8956955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BetBoom Team61c10,027$6,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.415544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9724153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed BetBoom Team77c9,326$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.0313068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit40c8,774$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.021,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit37c8,689$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.2496357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit39c8,495$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.9927143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked BetBoom Team60c8,204$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.4717546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed BetBoom Team57c8,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,41088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team62c7,436$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.6627153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit41c7,048$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.2526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team61c7,000$4,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73534544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit11c6,271$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7716547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed Team Spirit2c6,247$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.113842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team62c6,060$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.2329348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team61c5,967$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.8922842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit33c5,693$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.6650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked BetBoom Team73c5,371$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.366569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit24c5,367$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.0971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BetBoom Team61c5,095$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.9394442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Team Spirit42c5,005$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.954238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit36c4,985$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.8443049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Team Spirit0c4,800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Team Spirit38c4,800$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-83.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit38c4,716$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.5580056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit36c4,408$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.521,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BetBoom Team63c3,955$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.3815848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit39c3,639$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.8938855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit40c3,629$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.6156852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Team Spirit40c3,614$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.632045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Spirit39c3,547$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.3710546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team61c3,344$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.0241351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Spirit30c3,200$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.969630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit36c3,196$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.1214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BetBoom Team61c3,043$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed BetBoom Team58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26024251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Spirit1c3,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335034%17 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team62c2,931$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.5549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit4c2,879$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6743344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked BetBoom Team59c2,708$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.4139660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BetBoom Team59c2,600$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06613960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Team Spirit38c2,534$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.89858.2%57 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Spirit40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit8c2,500$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.137811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit39c2,472$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.3861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BetBoom Team61c2,470$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1619742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team61c2,410$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94035951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit23c2,398$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.1167043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team63c2,328$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.3942145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit23c2,189$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5336547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Team Spirit41c2,170$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit29c2,087$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.171,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked BetBoom Team57c2,059$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.5225147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed BetBoom Team62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76011154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed BetBoom Team59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82052046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked BetBoom Team58c1,996$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.821850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit20c1,833$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6947046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Team Spirit3c1,820$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked Team Spirit2c1,775$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.253616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit41c1,703$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.2241944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BetBoom Team74c1,694$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6911654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed BetBoom Team67c1,616$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.8355457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed BetBoom Team61c1,603$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.3111359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Team Spirit27c1,573$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked BetBoom Team63c1,558$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.746863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Spirit37c1,540$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.089850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Spirit13c1,520$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5465625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit40c1,517$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.830336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Team Spirit39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5853951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team75c1,492$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9979559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit38c1,444$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.858744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…abfebacked BetBoom Team60c1,440$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0512049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit28c1,427$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.261,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit41c1,396$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked BetBoom Team59c1,323$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.267058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.921,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit26c1,283$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.288728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.41,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Spirit39c1,261$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7430155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit32c1,236$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6656949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.