Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c8dc210d81c830e4a8f9b57d6b110e536558b72c73bc90a58d94e6a8e1146e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4667…cab0backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 4,985$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 3,368$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.37 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 527.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Spirit | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Team Spirit | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 314.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 276.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.94 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 248.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 201.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked BetBoom Team | 34c | 144.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Spirit | 66c | 109.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 69.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Spirit | 28c | 67.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit | 24c | 55.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 54.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Spirit | 41c | 44.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…f084backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 40.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 32.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Spirit | 66c | 31.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 30.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked BetBoom Team | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 29.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 25.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Spirit | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.