La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1667f5c09cb2791e90d2cdf759656bada82feec556e9f757252a16544872942e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Villarreal CF, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 21c | 10,306$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.65 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 6,546$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.92 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Levante UD | 66c | 3,545$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.45 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Levante UD | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.74 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Levante UD | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Levante UD | 1c | 1,361$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Levante UD | 66c | 1,294$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.26 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Villarreal CF | 35c | 1,229$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Levante UD | 67c | 912.73$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Levante UD | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Villarreal CF | 33c | 676.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Villarreal CF | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Levante UD | 62c | 294.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Villarreal CF | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Levante UD | 66c | 273$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Villarreal CF | 33c | 253.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Villarreal CF | 31c | 219.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Levante UD | 70c | 217$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Villarreal CF | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Villarreal CF | 33c | 179.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 157.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Levante UD | 69c | 155$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Villarreal CF | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Levante UD | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Levante UD | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Villarreal CF | 34c | 100.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Villarreal CF | 29c | 100.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Levante UD | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Levante UD | 66c | 99.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Villarreal CF | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…bcdebacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Villarreal CF | 29c | 57.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Levante UD | 68c | 55.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Villarreal CF | 71c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Levante UD | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Levante UD | 29c | 35.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Levante UD | 61c | 21.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Levante UD | 55c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Levante UD | 69c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.