La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x180b62a7de0340f25bb7c7264c02b29db2a671d588a62613e8854a598f2e833a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed No | 51c | 11,389$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 9,158$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 4,286$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 39c | 1,487$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed No | 51c | 1,272$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 41c | 1,066$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 846.27$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed Yes | 46c | 263.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 120.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 85.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 49c | 83.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 51c | 67.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 46c | 62.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…4d2abacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 54c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…465dbacked No | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 32.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 50c | 31.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 27.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Yes | 51c | 27.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…6ffabacked Yes | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…82d8backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.