TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c13,625$6,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,774.634,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over53c6,086$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.38351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c3,300$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under49c2,991$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.2422753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over63c1,575$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.844645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under52c1,017$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.197950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.46848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over55c917$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over47c860$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.41942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c824.03$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42e9…745cbacked Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c699.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7550249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under29c599.93$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.455143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c489.69$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6911345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f557backed Over78c471.45$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.451553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c427.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.833,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over54c372.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.793060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c356.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8875051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under53c330.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.622850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c323.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.691,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over65c322.22$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.781758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over65c269$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under40c252.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c249.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over54c224.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.213444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under59c207$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over63c201.66$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.567850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under36c189.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c186$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under6c182.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.87636.8%28 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c142.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over57c141.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.121717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-69.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over37c108.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under43c104.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.629528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Over78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under45c100.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3616142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under36c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under42c99.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over53c90.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5715344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.86456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240c…4c62backed Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.954542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over71c76.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.062095%19 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.26per pick69cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over65c75.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.383548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.432937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.843053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under57c63.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1622357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over56c61.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.072955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over60c58.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.427949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over44c54.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6116363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over65c53.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4620253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under48c52.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2226154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over71c51.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8114140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c50.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4359555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf97e…3947backed Over57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c44.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.971,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Under45c44.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over73c43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.616852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c38.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3861557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over63c31.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.735263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under52c30.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6911366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c29.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c28.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.520043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over64c27.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.961450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over55c27.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.153240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under39c25.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6422366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Over61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over77c23.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.529549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over73c23.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2410844.4%48 W · 60 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.