TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under60c50,000$29,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,989.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under62c16,176$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under30c13,972$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,191.668351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c11,226$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,635.064,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c6,114$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over40c5,870$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c5,707$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.491,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under62c4,936$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.3983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Under1c3,873$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.739466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under63c3,810$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over42c3,546$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.586550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over41c2,348$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.0310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over40c1,335$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over22c1,218$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.187440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over38c921$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under62c823.05$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over37c811.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over40c743$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.791,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under69c739.8$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under52c700$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over38c657$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over38c656.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.291,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over40c554.71$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b2…5fb4backed Under59c542.37$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31013163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over34c493.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under63c461.49$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.314141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over38c460$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.212863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over41c460$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over40c441.25$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7516456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over40c423.13$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over40c389.25$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.559164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c379.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.611,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over43c372.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.098956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over39c364.37$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under30c335$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1869528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c297$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.141,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over37c289.42$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.197950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac7…367dbacked Under7c285.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over35c270$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over40c238.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under62c210.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c206.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c184$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under60c177.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2619358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over40c160.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5715655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ba…267abacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c103.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.716348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5917859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over32c99.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c96.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9212470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…d227backed Under68c89.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under76c87.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.261090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0210450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c81.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over38c78.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2121457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under61c76.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over40c76.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6926154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over51c75.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2420253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under69c72.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992085%17 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Over40c71.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5211366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over43c69.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9315344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over66c68.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.182195.2%20 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick69cpaid+51%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over39c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6512958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0860…d30fbacked Under66c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over67c62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.446852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…1acbbacked Over42c61.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.474252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…d3bbbacked Over40c59.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over39c58.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8418747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5616040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Under62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under36c54.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.