TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0860…d30f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$106.65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+137.7%+$100.24
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.78
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$205.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$105.14
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.99
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.57
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.12
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.6
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twinsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.53
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.47
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.31
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.45
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$28.25
Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+201.4%+$80.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.62
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$3.61
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$54.86
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$944.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Plzen win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$143.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.