TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Yes58c30,000$17,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,4506357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c16,982$7,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,897.3620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No41c14,677$6,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,659.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No42c13,966$5,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,100.354153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No42c13,599$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,887.532857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c9,825$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698.56,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No41c9,670$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.0217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No41c5,001$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.1822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbc…d404backed Yes51c4,782$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No41c3,852$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.4815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No75c3,276$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.385451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c3,194$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.521,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No42c2,796$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.7711750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes45c2,304$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.246860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No44c1,769$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.545056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No41c1,621$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.473834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes42c1,170$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.47652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes59c1,163$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.715944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes54c1,098$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59380%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No53c1,045$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.567248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No42c984$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.0883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes59c862$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.581050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9b…1d68backed Yes37c810.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes53c745.18$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.452744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No42c662.83$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No41c636.17$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.346450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c614.56$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.444,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes59c564.41$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3336051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No41c540.73$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.992540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes59c508$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.727963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes59c500$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.932822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No42c415.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.585149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No52c363.34$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c362.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes59c337.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes57c332.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes59c325.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No46c323.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.779858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No42c301.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.931225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No63c286.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.186251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No49c279.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2927454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes59c277.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14516737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1187659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked No42c195$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes48c194$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.153256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb674…b925backed Yes59c189.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d6…52bfbacked Yes59c186.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes57c177.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.965143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…3748backed Yes59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No42c169.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.444035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Yes59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No55c143.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes59c118.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.034334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94de…9e53backed Yes54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.95259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No40c102.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.721656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2321153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.917745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No42c85.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7124044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64e…a85cbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4976backed Yes58c79.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes46c75.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No42c73.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c69.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.637844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes59c67.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.